It wasn’t a surprise that there were discussions about a brokered convention this upcoming summer when Republicans nominate their presidential candidate for President of the United States. Too many conventional Republicans have already stuck their foot in their own mouths speaking out against the presidential candidates who are not establishment types, namely Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, and Donald Trump. Candidates like John Kasich cannot fight the battle that is required within our nation because he has the wrong approach. In an appearance on CBS’s Face the Nation, Kasich said while he understands why so many Republican primary voters are “upset” with the federal government’s inability to deal with major issues such as the economy and budgets, he warned if anger carries “the day, we’re not going to get things fixed.” Well, here’s the story on Kasich, he came out bold in 2010 as a governor and spoke a lot of Tea Party oriented banter, but quickly retreated into a left leaning moderate once he decided shortly after 2012 to run for president. He’s been a worthless governor since that time, particularly his support of Obamacare through Medicaid expansion. His desire to trade federal dollars for votes sealed his fate forever. He could only hope to remain relevant in the Republican Party so long as there is no viable option otherwise.
So it’s no surprise that Republicans like Kasich are upset. Kasich has been following the same passive playbook that lost the election for John McCain and Mit Romney and winners see clearly the losing strategy, so they are looking for candidates who don’t want to lose. None of the mainstream candidates are polling well, and it’s for that reason. The Republican Party has given conservatives nothing to cheer for. Karl Rove and Grover Norquist have strategically placed the direction of the Republican Party at the mercy of Democrats for reasons that are baffling. Rove after the 2012 election had all his polling numbers off predicting a victory, but nobody showed up to vote for Romeny, because the candidate had been rammed down the throat of conservatives and few were excited about him. Rove should have been fired from Fox News, because he completely lost credibility. Even before there was a Donald Trump it was impossible to listen to Karl Rove and not think that he was so incompetent during the 2012 election that he needed to be replaced.
The playbook has not been working. While Rove undoubtedly would proclaim that Republicans have a majority in the House and Senate the type of people who Republicans have put in those positions have been failures designated as such for their inability to get anything done. It’s not enough to put players on the field who call themselves Republicans. If the party cannot give victories to voters, then the effort is all for nothing. Rove is like the head coach for a losing football team who should have been fired a long time ago, but is kept hoping that somehow something will change if everything just stays constant. That desire to maintain consistently bad results is what is driving the discussion of a brokered convention, which ironically will have none of the GOP establishment with any significant delegates. Here’s how the media reported the incident:
Republican presidential candidate Ben Carson ripped into the Republican National Committee Friday, threatening to leave the party after a report surfaced Thursday detailing a meeting party leaders had earlier in the week to discuss a possible brokered convention.
“If the leaders of the Republican Party want to destroy the party, they should continue to hold meetings like the one described in the Washington Post this morning,” the retired neurosurgeon said.
More than 20 top GOP officials discussed at a dinner on Monday the party’s strategy in the event of a brokered convention amid Donald Trump’s consistent lead in the polls.
Republican National Committee (RNC) Chairman Reince Priebus and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) listened as several longtime party members argued the establishment must lay the groundwork for a floor fight if Trump storms through the presidential primaries, five sources familiar with the meeting told The Washington Post.
The sources said Priebus and McConnell were mostly silent during the deliberation and did not signal support for an explicit anti-Trump effort.
But both men did acknowledge that a stalemated convention is something the party should be ready for.
When asked on Thursday about the dinner, RNC chief strategist Sean Spicer told the Post that the RNC is “neutral in this process and the rules are set until the convention begins next July.”
Regardless of who ends up as the presidential nominee, establishment Republicans have been terminated in the minds of voters. The alarm was clearly noticed by the mainstream reflection of our society, Saturday Night Live, where writers of the 12/12/2015 show were clearly miffed at conservative America. In the past these types of idiots were the people Karl Rove measured party success against—trying to appeal to them. But New York, the Beltway, and Los Angeles are not accurate reflections of the mood of the country. When you get out into the flatlands of Ohio and Indiana, or the mountains of Montana and Idaho, the Republican Party does not reflect those people. The NRA does, but the Republican Party as it is today does not. Pandering to weak candidates like John Kasich doesn’t get the job done and the strategists like Karl Rove who have set the table for this kind of failure shoulder most of the responsibility.
Clearly by the time we get through the primary season to the Republican Convention in Cleveland, Ohio the rules will either change, or many conservatives will look for a different party that represents them. If Republicans do not listen to their needs, they will go somewhere else. There is no patience for a Jeb Bush type of establishment candidate. John Kasich has been a terrible representative of conservative values. He telegraphed his position strategically to the world so far in advance of his run for president in 2016 that it was embarrassing. He delayed his announcement during the summer of 2015 too long for dramatic reasons when it was clear all along that his purpose behind the Medicaid expansion was to position himself to be president. As far back as 2013 insiders were reporting that Kasich was setting up a Ohio office to begin probing the presidential possibilities. So it comes with some anger to people like him that all the rules have changed—because they have. From the time he announced his run for president the type of person it will take to be a Republican nominee has changed. And in six months from now it will change even more—and not in Kasich’s favor. Kasich is part of the Karl Rove failure. Republicans showed up to play the game with the wrong playbook.
My prediction is that the Republican Convention will not be brokered. There will be a clear winner with a majority of the delegates going into the nomination process. That picture will become clear by March and the Karl Rove types will either have to shut their mouths or they’ll be replaced, which would be the best option. Republican strategists need to have their pulse on America, not just the Beltway. There are very angry conservatives who have been ignored, and they are a majority of the country. They have been ignored and made fun of by just about all the media, the entertainment industry, and the Beltway, and at some point in time, someone has to pay for that poor judgment in alienating them from the process with name calling and orthodox politics. The writers at Saturday Night Live are one of the first to see the caution of that sleeping giant and they seem justifiably a little scared. New York City and Washington D.C. seem like big places when you are within those structures of political supremacy. But they seem pretty small to the rugged people who live between the cities all across the country. And those people are cleaning their guns ready for war. They don’t give a rat’s ass about Obamacare—except that they want the people who shoved it down their throats removed. The Republican Party better find a way to represent those people, or their failures will continue. And accepting that role will start with the Republican Convention in July of 2016. A floor fight will only make it worse for them. If Establishment Republicans want to keep Karl Rove around because they like him, let him sell popcorn at the Convention, but don’t take his advice. He will only screw things up more than he has.
Rich “Cliffhanger” Hoffman