Someone sent me this short video of a deer attacking a hunter and I couldn’t help but think of this year’s election. For so long Republicans have had the gun and all they had to do was pull the trigger, but most of the time they end up being beaten by Democrats just like the hunter in that video, because they weren’t fighters and were averse to violence. So, a dumb animal was able to dominate them easily. I look at that video and wonder why the hunter didn’t just grab hold of the horns and twist the neck off of the deer. He wouldn’t even need to fire a single shot and would save the skin of the animal from any bullet holes. It was a great opportunity to get a nice pelt off the beast. But like any passivist, the hunter obviously didn’t pull the trigger on his gun fast enough and the animal just beat the shit out of him, just like most Republicans in my life time. However, I think this time is going to be different. This time it’s up to you dear reader.
I don’t want to get too excited, its voting day and everyone needs to do their part. You have to pull the trigger. Don’t count on the other guy to pull the trigger for you, you need to do it yourself. Don’t count on early voting, don’t count on the Trump effect, don’t think for a minute that your vote doesn’t matter because a failure to do so could put the Republican party in the position of that hunter, once again. My advice to you is to vote like you are pulling the trigger on that dear and put that sucker down without any question, no opportunity by Democrats to cheat, no deep state operatives to steal the election, vote to put a kill shot through the head so that the deer will never get up again, and will instead be mounted on the wall of politics for the rest of the history of the United States. Don’t hesitate, pull the trigger at the ballot box and shoot to kill.
We won’t know anything for sure until the election results come back Tuesday night, and in many cases well into Wednesday on every issue that concerns us. But here is what we do know, early voting across the nation is way up for Republicans. The Trump blitz had more of an effect than a lot of people realized in the media and the voters have been energized who have supported Trump or have been thinking about voting for Trump’s agenda. As it stands President Trump has an approval rating of over 51% and that is after two years of a liberal controlled entertainment and news industry throwing everything they’ve had at this new president. And nothing has come close to working. Nobody outworks President Trump and that essentially sets up a massive day for Republicans on Tuesday, in both the House, the Senate and the various governor races.
I am sure that polling has some suppression attempts in them particularly from NBC and ABC along with the New York Times. But not everything is a conspiracy. As I have looked at the samplings of many polls, I am seeing most of them with statistical analysis of a plus side Democratic sampling. I don’t think that’s by design in every case, just that Republicans don’t answer the phone. Ten years ago and longer when people had hard lines in their homes and caller ID was still kind of new thing, people answered their phones more. But with smart phones indicating whether or not an incoming phone number is recognized or not, Republicans just don’t answer as much as Democrats and that is throwing off pollsters’ ability to get good numbers in this social media age. Traditional phone calls are not getting the information correctly because the way that information is shared has changed.
For instance, several polls in Ohio have Sherrod Brown up big over his challenger Jim Renacci, but there are indicators that are quite clear that there is hidden data that hasn’t been considered. Voter energy for one thing, the early voting in Ohio heavily favors the GOP. There doesn’t appear to be enough union radicals to go out and support the incumbent Sherrod Brown who in any other year would easily re-win his seat. The panic in the press is that the double-digit lead that Brown has over Renacci isn’t really that big of a lead. It’s just that the pollsters do not have access to any better information that tells the whole story. In many cases the media wants to believe that Brown is safe, so they chose not to look at all the other indicators, so they stick with the traditional way of analyzing voting data. It certainly didn’t work in 2016. Maybe they made adjustments for it in 2018, but it doesn’t look that way. Sherrod Brown looks very vulnerable and a strong turnout from Republicans on Tuesday could easily give Jim Renacci a victory and another Republican senate seat which would help the Trump agenda tremendously. The control of that happening is completely in the hands of Republican voters. If they show up to vote, Republicans can win even seats that haven’t been on the radar, one’s like that of Jim Renacci.
Crowd sizes of rallies are certainly not scientific. But one thing that must be considered especially in races where 5000 to 10000 votes can turn an election in the favor of one party or another, Barack Obama or any of the celebrities that Hollywood is sending out to campaign for Democrats are not getting good showings. Obama, a former president is only filling up half the venues of his destinations whereas Trump is getting overflow crowds at every location he goes to. There are no empty seats at a Trump event, and as I’ve said, he gives the same speech over and over. His speeches are on television and can be watched live most of the time. In the laws of supply and demand Trump would be thought to have reached a saturation point with his political stance that would leave a lot of empty seats. There is more going on than meets the eye.
Now I can speak on this topic because every time Trump has come to Cincinnati, I have had the opportunity to see him, and I always get excited about it. Why, because I know everything he’s going to say? I would attribute a Trump rally to the same kind of feeling that old-world warfare inspired in people to charge an opposite line with a sword or a bayonet. It’s a very primal empowerment that Trump gives to people at his rallies, and it motivates people to take action. The unconscious agreement between Trump and his supporters is that if the President is willing to take time out of his evenings to visit people’s hometowns, then people are willing to do things for Trump after he leaves which energizes the base. I saw this very strongly in Ohio when the President came in October to a rally held in Lebanon that was under cold and rainy conditions. I had the opportunity to sit in the VIP area so I was able to see some of the behind the scenes stuff and the ramp the president was to walk out on was slick with water from a very light rain. I thought that the event coordinators were going to call off the rally because the conditions were dangerous for a President of any kind, especially someone like Trump who has the media licking their chops for a chance to watch him trip on a step or have a wardrobe malfunction with his hair giving them the ability to embarrass him, the risk just wasn’t worth it. But Trump doesn’t cancel and when he showed up, he confidently as a 72-year-old man hit the stage like a rock star and people bonded with him, as they do at all his events. After the rally, the people who stood over 12 hours waiting for a 1-hour speech hit the streets and did their work door to door, and at the polls, and that has a lot to do with why early voting is so high.
With all those things considered, when the smoke clears on Election Day, we just need to know that everyone had the courage to take their shot. Don’t hesitate, pull the trigger and put down the Democrats. They have been vile and a strong election showing by Republicans could actually end the Democrat party forever. Imagine the look on their faces on Wednesday after they had lost all hope of everything during the election and showed no hope for the future. If 2016 was an indicator that they were losing power, the election of 2018 could be a final nail in their coffin, so don’t hesitate to pull the trigger. That is where things stand and the power is completely in your hand’s dear reader. So, take the shot!
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