New Emerson Poll Has Jim Renacci Catching Sherrod Brown By Election Day: The 2018 election will be won by voter turnout

A new Emerson Poll fresh off the wire tells the story in Ohio quite well. It has Senator Sherrod Brown, the long-time liberal Democrat at 49% ahead of the midterm election with Jim Renacci, the Republican challenger, at 43%. It tells a similar story about Richard Cordray who is of the same kind of liberal mind as Sherrod Brown at 49% while Mike DeWine is at 46%. Although that shows key Republicans losing, at this moment it does provide some interesting analysis. It certainly puts them in the margin of error meaning that the strength of voter turnout will contribute directly to the success or failure of Republicans. Without capturing more than 49% of voter approval neither Democrat running for the big races in Ohio can break 50% of support and that means that their base is supporting them, but they can’t get any higher. Ohio leans to the right so without breaking 50% there is a very stunning statistic there that doesn’t look good for any Democrat.

https://www.emerson.edu/news-events/emerson-college-today/emerson-poll-close-governor-races-ohio-oregon-kansas-democrats-look-pick-congressional-seat-kansas#.W9l35_ZFyM8

My thoughts on polls is that they are the best information that we have about the trends in voting, but I am skeptical of them. We can’t assume that these are wrong and are likely higher from Emerson. Data is data and we have to look at it and let it tell us the story as is. I’m quite aware of suppression polls, and the Rush Limbaugh theory of what happens as elections tighten up. No pollster wants to look bad and to get it wrong on election day, so any fantasies of suppression polls go away as election day nears, which is likely why so many Republicans across the country are suddenly looking so much better. Suppression polls of course are where pollsters take unusually high samples of Democrat voters to help make the poll tell a more optimistic story for liberal candidates to shape the narrative, particularly in early voting. The tactic is to take the energy out of rival campaigns and cause them to throw up their arms, or not spend that extra money on ads to push for final vote counts as election day nears. We know that happens, but at this point we are through a lot of that. The other thing that is certainly a factor is that Republicans and Democrats do not behave the same way. Speaking for myself I did receive this year lots of attempts by pollsters to call me, but I never pick up the phone unless I know the person calling me. Usually I’m not in a position to take a call as my day is very busy from sun up to sun down. So pollsters don’t capture Republicans like me in their samplings, where Democrats are very social people and tend to pick up their phones a larger percentage of the time. That can swing results to the +5 or to the negative side.

Yet when polling does show this tight of a race, voter turnout will be the unquestioned determining factor, which side has the most energy to support their party. Democrats have obviously been working for two years to build up the energy for a big midterm showing with their push for the Mueller investigation against Trump, for the various caravan issues coming up from Mexico, for their efforts as socialized health care and the constant protests, the drag-assing of the President’s agenda especially in the Kavanaugh situation. A combination of all those things and a constant drum beat from the mainstream media has been to suck the life out of Trump and to give it to Democrats to have a big showing at the midterms and to start the process of running the President out of power well ahead of the 2020 elections. But I see a different trend, one that favors Trump and across the country those that have been backed by Trump directly, like Jim Renacci in Ohio are doing much better than they otherwise would and if voter turnout for Republicans is high—which early voting numbers appear for them to be, then beating incumbent liberals like Sherrod Brown is not far-fetched.

All this has reminded me that if just the gun lobby showed up on election day and voted in mass that likely all the Republicans in these tight races would easily win. If gun owners voted on Election Day 2018 Republicans would win their seats, it’s that close and the gun lobby is that powerful, as it should be. That’s why Democrats hate it so much. The results of election day are completely in the hands of conservatives to win. Sherrod Brown does not have some mythical support base that cuts into all Ohioans. Even after three decades in politics he does not have voter crossover into the other party. Women are voting for liberals like Cordray and Brown at a rate about 3% higher than males, but this latest poll was put together before that disastrous debate at Miami University. In that debate Sherrod Brown’s history with domestic violence and sexual assault came to question and its likely that women opinions on that matter did not make it into this Emerson poll. So, there is room there for variation as well.

It is not smart to go into Election Day with the hope that polls are wrong and that Republicans will pick up 7 to 8% points by default, which is how it was with Trump in 2016. I was saying many of the same things then that I’m saying now and it turned out to be true. Polls get you information, but they don’t tell the whole story, that is determined by voter enthusiasm and Democrats have a flat line in regard to that. Sure, they can turn out the union vote and some radical ANTIFA types that overturn cars in the streets and break out windows, but they don’t have a smart voter class that can adjust to opposition. Their bench just isn’t that deep. Democrats require people to function completely off empathy instead of logic and Trump has been too successful to fuel radical groups to head to the polls. Even with liberal samplings being higher than conservatives who pick up the phone and indicate early voting patterns, Sherrod Brown and Richard Cordray can’t break 50% and that is the big story here. If they can’t do that under the most optimal conditions, they are very vulnerable to voter enthusiasm gaps.

My advice to you dear reader is to make sure that if you do nothing else in the next month is that you go vote for your local Republican. Take nothing for granted and don’t wait for someone else to do it for you. You need to show up and cast your vote like your life depends on it, because in some cases, it does. Democrats if they are defeated in 2018 soundly, and it looks like they will be, will never recover from such a loss. It’s true America is very divided and along party lines. The best way to change that is to destroy that other party completely and then welcome people from the other side to join Republicans into keeping America great. That is the most humane way to solve the divisions we have. Like the Civil War, it will take Democrats decades to realize they are on the wrong side of history and assimilate into the greater American culture, but on Election Day 2018 its important that we look at it like a battle that could potentially end a long war in America—and set up a new day in the life of every American, one that is much brighter under Republican control than it ever was at any point in previous history.

Rich Hoffman

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Jim Renacci Destroyed Sherrod Brown in the Final Debate of 2018: Sheree Paolello and Miami University helped make history

If the third and final debate between Jim Renacci and long time Senator Sherrod Brown were a fist fight the liberal would have found his face ripped off and the ring mopped with his blood by the Republican challenger for the election that is taking place on November 6th, 2018. It wasn’t even close, Jim Renacci was very good in that debate even at one point using his accounting skills on the stage to add up Brown’s lobby money to make a point about how the senator had become one of the biggest lobby recipients on the Hill. After watching all the debates, this one was clearly the best one as it was held on the campus of Miami University in their Hall Auditorium to a ruckus crowd that was divided down the middle with Brown supporters on one side, and Renacci supporters on the other. Sheree Paolello along with her Channel 5 partners did a fantastic job with the entire event, I was very impressed with her handling of the crowd and managing the clock. She let Renacci and Brown duke it out on stage without too much clock trouble while letting the audience lightly engage in the debate before commanding their sentiments playfully, but firmly from the stage and bringing everything to a close on time, on national television. I’m a bit of a sucker for competence and I go to a lot of these things, and this one was certainly one of the best run events that I had ever witnessed. Sheree deserves a lot of credit for her fine balance of professionalism and playfulness to really bring out on stage who the two men really were as candidates and that certainly worked to the favor of Jim Renacci.

The tickets for the event were split with Sherrod Brown supporters on the left side of the large room facing the stage and Renacci supporters on the right. There was an upper deck in the hall that had people there as well, and of course those are the type of liberals that activate and always show up at these events to make Democrats look like a larger sampling of society. But this time the Republican had a lot of people of their own. There were more people for Brown which wasn’t surprising for a campus event. Additionally, it was raining and there was a long line to get into the building through security, so for a Friday night to fill a large auditorium on a college campus in the pouring cold rain of a late October in 2018 I was very surprised to find myself surrounded with a very energized crowd for Jim Renacci. It looked to me that the Democrat radicals who obviously showed up to out shout conservatives as they could were shocked as well to find a resistance to their usual antics. At the end of the debate as I show in the video I posted on Twitter, that crowd was certainly different from similar events—the battle lines that ran through our national politics were certainly on full display.

But during the event itself Jim Renacci showed a large range of skills, everything from humor to satirical wit, he kept Sherrod Brown bouncing around on his heels all evening. Brown had a few good lines, but most of the debate he was forced to react to Renacci by attempting to use the same tired old liberal talking points about the environment, growing the economy from the inside out, and attacking banks. Renacci the former accountant and extremely successful businessman was just too much for Brown. It was really a battle between an achiever in Renacci and a Marxist theorist who has tried for three decades to make that vision into a reality and failed time and time again in Brown. The liberals following Brown clearly weren’t used to conservatives having such a good candidate in Renacci supported by such an aggressive crowd of supporters and backed by such a successful President Trump. Jim Renacci was handpicked for this job of incoming senator to give the White House more help on the Hill with the Trump agenda and that clearly exposed a new political wrinkle that Democrats just weren’t prepared for.

Of course, the topic of Brown’s domestic violence problems came up and Renacci handled it particularly well. Brown did what he has been doing to defer the issue by saying that Renacci should be ashamed of himself for even bringing it up. But it was a question from the moderator and Renacci had to answer the question accurately. It was after all Sherrod Brown who tried to keep Brett Kavanaugh out of the Supreme Court by picking the testimony of abuse articulated unsubstantiated by Dr. Ford recently who set a standard of conduct for which he couldn’t live up to. So it was a fair question and all Brown could do was say that various newspapers in the state of Ohio wanted Renacci to stop bringing up the issue. Well, liberal newspapers in the bag for Democrats don’t make the rules—they can decide to cover Republicans and Democrats differently, which they certainly do. If a Republican tried to get away with Sherrod Brown’s answer to the domestic violence question, they would have been ran off the stage, but the media is more than willing to give a free pass to Democrats every time. But Renacci kept the complicated matter on point and exposed the hypocrisy very well. By Sherrod Brown’s own rules that were thrown at Brett Kavanaugh just a few weeks ago, Brown must step down out of the race. His refusal to do so takes away all the merit of his argument against Kavanaugh, which isn’t surprising. Democrats like Sherrod Brown are used to saying one thing and doing another. They glue the whole thing together every time with emotions from their supporters who show up at these events and shout down the other side into shame, but not this time. This time the conservative had a rowdy crowd of their own and once the liberals started breaking the rules of the evening with their frequent outbursts, Renacci’s crowd started doing the same. Security had to move up into the room to threaten to remove provocateurs several times, and at the end things did get a little out of control from the audience perspective. Somehow Sheree Paolello kept the whole thing on the tracks and under those conditions Jim Renacci just shined. Brown obviously wasn’t prepared and lost the debate handedly.

It was a beautiful night to be out on the very nice campus of Miami University. I wish that truly colleges were places that they were intended to be, places of thought and discussion. After the debate the university put on a nice meet and greet out in the lobby which was designed to facilitate good discussion between everyone with some nice beverages and food offerings. It reminded me that colleges were intended to serve a positive function in society among thoughtful people, even though that has not been the reality. They have instead emerged as cesspools of liberalism, but on my way back to the car under the steady rain soaking my suit tight against my skin on a cold night, I felt like the national dialogue had advanced properly. It wasn’t just because my guy won the debate and that liberals were challenged for a change by members of the #MEGA movement, but it was the campus itself showing a turn for the better in these early years of a new century toward what should have always been. And that is truly what Making America Great Again is all about—and on that debate night Channel 5 and the University of Miami played their part in what will soon become history—and the world is better off for it.

Rich Hoffman

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What Makes President Trump So Special: A magic night in Lebanon, Ohio

There were some deeply touching moments in the Trump rally in Lebanon, Ohio which I partially expected. But we’re talking about a sitting president stumping for some midterm candidates here, politics is not supposed to be this exciting and people normally don’t show up five, six and seven hours early to stand in the cold and in the rain to watch a 72-year-old man talk. This is a human phenomenon that is unsurpassed in the history of the world, I don’t even think the great Winston Churchill could have brought out the crowd that greeted President Trump at the Warren County Fair Grounds on Friday October 12, 2018. I was just a little stunned by the event. I had a feeling that there would be a large crowd, but the sheer magnitude of it was just jaw dropping. There was a collision of Americana present that was obvious and inspiring and I thought John London from Channel 5 News in Cincinnati put his finger on it perfectly in his summation of the night.

There is a lot to unpack from this event and it will certainly take more than one article to cover it all but for the sake of brevity here I have to thank the people who gave my daughter and I the opportunity to witness this spectacle from the comfort of the V.I.P. section. Yes it was freezing cold and we got rained on and we did stand most of the time. But at least we had a seat and a good vantage point to watch this unusual moment in history.

I always feel sorry for people who don’t have that kind of access to these big Trump events, but as I looked at people’s faces on the floor, many who had been standing under the roof for more than four hours—before President Trump even arrived—they were happy people just willing to be near the star of the show if even for a moment. People were packed everywhere that people could put themselves for as far as the eye could see and it was quite something to witness. It was inspiring to say the least. If these people were willing to show up in the cold and rain of an October in Ohio, they would surely show up to vote for Republicans Trump endorsed in the upcoming election.

This was my oldest daughter’s first time to go to one of these events with me and she was very touched by it. She is a professional photographer and shares with me a tendency to like to view the world through big picture vantage points. The event organizers couldn’t have put us in a better spot for that particular venue, we had the top row of the bleachers just behind the president. I’ve watched President Trump speak many times so it was good to be behind him because my interest was mostly the crowd. The media never does justice to what the crowds look like from Trump’s point of view and we were fortunate to see the whole thing more from the president’s perspective even watching the motorcade role in to drop him off, and turn around all the vehicles to take him back to Lunken afterwards. President Trump does many very subtle things that only a polished pro like him can do on such large operations with many moving parts coming together seamlessly. He is super smart, from where I was standing I could see him staging up his entry onto the stage to match perfectly the various cable news top of the hour broadcasts, and he ended everything right on time like such a seasoned performer. But he’s of course juggling much more than that just in the complexities of his job. Yet while Steve Chabot was talking the President could get a sense that the crowd was drifting. People not under the roof of that magnificent structure on the fairgrounds were getting soaked, including my daughter and I. People next to us were starting to head for the exit. Trump was watching and he ever so subtly tapped Steve in the middle of the back to change things up a bit. Chabot took the cue and sped up his speech and Trump seamlessly changed gears and held the audience to his next twenty minutes of oration. Most people might not even see the value in such a thing, but that is one of the very raw distinctions that Trump has over everyone else in the world. He is literally a master communicator and he knows exactly what he is doing all the time. I continue to be impressed by President Trump every time I see him live, I don’t think I’d ever get sick of it.

After the event was over and people headed out to the parking lot, which used to be the old horse racing track that was moved to Miami Valley gaming several miles to the west my daughter and I lingered around watching the press. I literally stood next to an AP writer and watched her write the news feed of the event, which she mostly got all wrong. But she was shivering and tapping her feet viciously trying to stay warm. For people who haven’t been to these types of things before the media are always given a spot near the back of a rally to photograph from, and behind that raised camera platform is usually rows of tables so that writers can get their stories out. Mostly these reporters are like anybody else, they just want to get their jobs done and get home. Once the Trump supporters had left for their cars the reporters could relax a bit and get their stories out to their employers to meet their deadlines. Most of those reporters didn’t go to the trouble that John London did at Channel 5. They see hundreds of these types of rallies so there is no magic in them that they can see, they only care about the surface stuff. But one thing that everyone missed from a reporter’s standpoint that was very clear to me was how Trump handled the weather.

Remember when Obama had to have a military official hold an umbrella over him while he gave a speech in the Rose Garden? Well in these times of high insurance rates and overly cautious appraisals of everything I didn’t think Trump’s people would let him take the stage because it had been raining so long. The stage was soaked. Part of the stage entry was raised and ran outside of the roof that most of the rally was under, so it was exposed to the weather. Rain had clearly soaked it after many hours. But Trump did the right thing when he arrived. Some of his security wiped off the platform with towels and Trump walked out across it without any concern for his safety which these days was highly unusual. Lesser people would have called the whole thing off, but not this president.

Trump shows up to talk to his supporters under any condition, and that is part of his appeal. But when he left the rain had been coming down even harder. The safe thing would have been for Trump to take the steps down into the pit and stay under the roof, but no, he went back out the way he came in and the ramp wasn’t dried off at all. Trump walked across it like a seasoned pro not even worrying about slipping and falling. Trump isn’t afraid of little things like that and that is part of what distinguishes him from everyone else. It’s a subtle little thing, but those add up and they make Trump and all those he endorses that much more appealing.

Trump has made the Republican Party much, much better. I’ve always identified myself as a Republican, but I have never been prouder to be affiliated with it. Trump is a superstar, he was before he ever ran for president, yet he’s not so pretentious that he’s afraid of rain, or hard work. And nobody works harder than President Trump.

These rallies may cost a fortune to put on, and may be traffic nightmares, but one thing that comes out of them is that Trump talks directly to people who support him. He doesn’t hide out in the White House enjoying the luxury of the office. He works, and he works hard—and he’s willing to endure the cold and the rain if his supporters are. And that is what makes Donald J. Trump special, and why the Republican Party has a new life because of him. The Democrats don’t have anybody even close and they likely never will.

Rich Hoffman

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The Power Behind the Trump Name: Democrats are in real trouble

Just for perspective when news coverage of something like President Trump’s visit to Lebanon, Ohio occurs network news always feels they have to cover equally the Democratic response. I suppose they think it avoids the optics of appearing to lean to one side instead of the other. But with something like Trump coming to a Northern Cincinnati suburb of great historic value, so many people showed up that it essentially shut down the city as people poured into the fairgrounds of Warren County just a few miles north of the famous Golden Lamb profusely. In fact dear reader, as you are reading this, I am at that event and as far as you can see its Trump Republicans who have swarmed in from all over the countryside. Yet the news coverage of this massive rally featured a kind of Democrat response, a rally of their own called “We Deserve Better” which had about four people and a cat show up. I didn’t think there were any Democrats in Warren County, but a few showed up, and their rally looked pretty pathetic in comparison. Not even on the same level of politics which I thought said a lot about the reality of the upcoming midterms.

As I’ve said from the beginning of this latest political season, it’s going to come down to voter turnout of course. Democrats are energized, but honestly, I think we are seeing what’s left of their party on the news every night. They are fluffing themselves up to look relevant, but in all actuality, they aren’t. Just as the Channel 9 people in Cincinnati felt they had to cover the Democrat response to the Republican rally–truthfully there aren’t enough people in the Cincinnati market who even care anymore to justify the airtime. That is why Trump is able to draw these huge crowds who are more than a little enthusiastic to show up on a chilly October night in Ohio to watch a president two years into office give a stump speech for fellow Republicans. There isn’t anybody like that in the Democrat Party now or in the foreseeable future and that has further coalesced Republicans around Trump. I think it’s quite clear that the amount of people who showed up to see Trump exceeded expectations. Meanwhile, the Democrats were trying to fluff up their feathers to appear as an equal party offering alternatives to the Republican proposals, but people know now what they are really about, it’s socialism and now that they cat is out of the bag, most Americans just aren’t comfortable supporting such a concept on American soil. And it shows with the support of the Democratic Party.

Yes, you can tell a lot about enthusiasm from the population by the size of their rallies. For instance, when I wrote about this very topic two years ago as Trump was looking to be knocked out of the presidential race by the Access Hollywood tapes I was at the rally at U.S. Bank Arena which filled up to the luxury boxes. Hillary had come the week before and had a hard time filling up the little space just a few blocs down the road in downtown Cincinnati between the Ohio River and the Banks development. There is a little park there and Hillary gave a speech and they had to push everyone in tight to make the crowd look bigger on television. I could see then that nobody cared about the Access Hollywood tapes. Trump was different and he was re-writing the rules of politics, rules that the Democrats had controlled for nearly 100 years. Trump had changed them all for the better in just a few months on the campaign trail as president.

I’d like to say that you can believe polls, but here’s the problem with them, pollsters have to call many thousands of people in order to get a statistical sampling of a few hundred, because most people they call don’t want to participate. Of that percentage it is well-known that Republicans don’t answer their phone whereas Democrats are more prone to do so. Democrats are very social creatures, that’s why they lean toward collectivism and political socialism. Conservatives are self-reliant and are often busy with something productive, so they don’t take calls from phone numbers they don’t recognize. Pollsters under pressure to get constant results to the networks that buy them have to produce the results they can get rather than wait for a proper number of Republicans to answer the phone, and that’s how all these polls get screwed up. I don’t think most of the races around the country are as close as they try to make them sound. Networks do with all the races just as they did with the Trump rally, they try to make Democrats look like a viable competitor. But in all actuality the Democrats aren’t even a blip on the map.

I continue to be impressed with Donald Trump, he knows his stuff and nobody outworks him, that’s for sure. This past week he did a rally almost every day and on Thursday before this event in Lebanon he had Kenya West at the White House which really gave some positive media coverage.  It is good marketing to show access to this president, and it was very smart of event organizers to have the wherewithal to string these events together in this way. But Trump gets the credit for having the stamina to pull it all off. The guy just never stops working and it shows. The desperation that the Democrats are now showing is that they don’t have a way to match that energy and they are getting frustrated.

Granted the Lebanon Trump rally is in very conservative country, I’m not sure there are any Democrats who live in the surrounding area. But Trump has shown time and time again that he can pull the same kind of numbers in inner cities and in places where Democrats are running things. In this case, Trump was stumping for so many politicians it made sense to have a rally in the middle of all their districts to accommodate everyone. But to even make a decision like that you have to have the power behind the name to most utilize the President’s presence. Lebanon was a perfect place to have a rally, and it’s a good thing too, because they needed the room for all the people who showed up. Seeing the crowd up close and the energy that was coming from them it is very obvious that things aren’t nearly as close as the media would like to make things appear. That doesn’t mean that Republicans can afford to stay home on election night, but that if they show up Democrats won’t be winning anything. They are a tired party selling an old message of socialism that isn’t very exciting and they are getting torched politically by Donald J. Trump. Even with everything Trump has been through over the last couple of years, he has endured the worst of it and the storm clouds are finally starting to break and his supporters are still there, which was quite obvious in Lebanon, Ohio on October 12, 2018. It looks to me after this next election that Democrats won’t be looking for a president to run against Trump. They will be looking for candidates just to run for local positions, and they won’t be able to find them, because the party itself is about to become extinct. The media won’t say that because they want the ratings of a perceived race between them and Republicans. But I’ll say it.

Rich Hoffman

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The Grim Reality for Democrats: Kathy Wyenandt loses steam in a local election which reflects the national implications for her party

I couldn’t help but notice that Kathy Wyenandt’s campaign sign was gone from the billboard she had been renting near my home on RT.4 in Liberty Township where she is running against George Lang for the 52nd District House seat. The old billboard was nice, and expensive and she started with her message early in September 2018. She thought like a lot of Democrats did that this whole thing was going to be easy. After all her experience told her that the 2013 Lakota levy had passed and she had led that tax increase. In reality I had to break her heart on the matter when we spoke privately later after a debate. The Lakota levy of 2013 didn’t pass by just 1% because people all of a sudden wanted to raise taxes on themselves. It was because a large portion of the resistance who was working with me wanted to play nice with the other side, so the no vote side was less inclined to show up to vote on election night. It was a simple numbers game, it was my job to evoke people’s passions to get them to the polls, even if I had to call people names. The Lakota levy didn’t pass because of anything Kathy did, but because of what the tax fighters didn’t do. She only benefited, and we had that talk personally. People are often surprised when they meet me that I’m actually a very nice person, not some crazed lunatic. But clearly after that night where she and George Lang debated her behavior changed as did that of her supporters. Sure you can still see a sign for her here and there but the energy had gone out of her campaign. Her premise from the beginning was wrong, she was a moderate running in a conservative area as a Democrat. She was a woman running against a white man and Democrats thought that was enough. Her levy supporting friends at Lakota had been treating her as a celebrity since 2013 for a levy victory when in fact it wasn’t anything they did to secure a victory, other than convince my supporters to play nice and reunite the community under the flag of Lakota. George Lang in the debate had done well with her and after the depth of just how hard it was going to be to win the 52nd District seemed to have dawned on her. And now with just a few weeks ahead of the election the money was hard to come by to renew her billboard until the election. Now it’s gone leaving only a tattered empty place with peeling paper in its place and every time I see it now I think of how it is a good metaphor for the Democrat Party.

Recently Vennessa Enoch caught me in a parking lot asking for my vote. She was a nice black woman running as a Democrat against Warren Davidson, and she obviously didn’t know who I was. Of course I was polite to her but she could see by my face that it was a mistake to hand me any campaign literature. She seemed like a nice enough lady but it was clear she didn’t know the game she was playing. The Democrats in Southern Ohio and up into counties past Columbus really thought that women were so stupid as to vote as a collective association—that girl power was a viable political strategy. Since Trump had been elected Democrats continued to think that they’d split up the women vote by offering women as candidates, such as Vennessa Enoch and Kathy Wyenandt. I don’t think Vennessa had been told by her Democratic friends that people weren’t going to like her just because society said they had to like a black woman. That voting for a person for congress in Warren Davidson’s district was going to take a lot more than that. We weren’t so stupid to vote for a liberal just because they were women or black. Those are not traits that effectively win elections, they never have been and they certainly aren’t now. Women love Trump and they specifically like the kind of Republican Party that is forming under the Trump umbrella. For examples just go to Instagram and do a search for Babes for Trump or God Guns and Freedom and you’ll see what I mean. A new kind of sexual expression is taking place where suddenly its cool for women to wear bikinis and use their bodies as billboards for Trump and Republicanism in general. Women were not doing this for John McCain, Mit Romney, or George Bush, this is a very new thing and it comes as a byproduct of having a winning approach to elections in general. There are a lot of women who love the kind of men that are emerging from the Trump administration and the Democrats are not on that wagon.

I noticed a tremendous difference in Republican attitudes at a recent event at Premier Shooting and Training where they had a Second Amendment celebration night there. For one, it was unusual to have all those top-level Republicans in the same place at the same time where fundraising wasn’t the primary objective. Some of the guys there had been around for a while, but there was something very different about them now that Trump was the head of the Republican Party. There was a swagger present that I hadn’t seen before in all the many years that I had been doing these kinds of things. Back at that Lakota levy period that Kathy Wyenandt was so proud of we had a meeting after the third attempt that went down in flames in the fall of 2011 that we should lighten up, that we had too much Tea Party in our No Lakota Levy campaign. Of course, everyone knew I wanted to punch harder than we had been. The district was not respecting voters with continued attempts at a tax increase. My friends who were all top Republicans in Butler County wanted to mend fences for the sake of business. Back then the leader of the Republican Party in Butler County was John Boehner and he was a very moderate Republican who wanted to play by the rules that Democrats established. I tried to tell them what was coming, but nobody wanted to hear it then, and only now are they seeing it. The energy that put people into voting for key elections was swagger, and confidence—not compromise and conciliation.

As I watched Republicans rejoice at a hard-fought victory over the Brett Kavanaugh confirmation I could see that finally what I had been saying for years was starting to really sink in. Trump’s election and the results of success that have followed have won over most of the key Republicans I knew in Ohio. They had adopted to this new leader of the Republican Party and were seeing success. Meanwhile Democrats were still playing an old game of identity politics that only appealed to a small minority of voters. People hadn’t voted for Hillary Clinton just because she was a woman and they weren’t going to vote for Kathy Wyenandt just because she was attractive and pleasant. Republicans for the first time in their lives could go on Instagram and see lots of mostly naked Republican women in red white and blue bikinis hold guns and Bibles all too happy to show their support for President Trump and its that kind of energy that wins elections. People over politics or some other socialist message isn’t going to work. The world had changed and Democrats were too stupid to see it. That is the reason they threw everything they had at Brett Kavanaugh and why with only a few weeks left to close the deal their campaigns in local races like the ones in Southern Ohio are running out of gas—because they didn’t understand the situation they were getting into.

Republicans should win most of their races easily around the country. There will be some surprises here and there but in essence if Republican voters show up and vote, they will easily outnumber the Democrats. There just aren’t that many Democrats, they are a minority party with a sloppy message of old socialism that only lazy people like. The new Trump Republicans are much cooler all of a sudden and if that energy fuels voter turnout, Republicans will gain seats in the House and Senate, not lose them. And I predict that there will be many more billboards going vacant for Democrat candidates in the near future. They didn’t learn from the mistakes of the past even when the evidence was quite clear. I could tell in my conversations with Kathy and Venessa that nobody on their side had talked to them the way I was which isn’t good. It’s not that I was mean or anything, but just to frame the situation they were stepping into, obviously nobody had done that for them. Because the Democrats thought all they needed was women to vote against men and their ticket to the future would be punched. What they didn’t calculate was that there were many, many women more than willing to take off their clothes and use their bodies for billboards for Trump’s Republicans and that would prove to be the deciding factor for the upcoming midterms. And it wasn’t crusty old men providing that energy, it was women, young and vivacious and looking for winners. And those winners are not in the Democratic Party, that’s for sure.

Rich Hoffman

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This is What Winning Looks Like: Now we need more of it on Election Day

What an astonishing display that was. When it was clear that the senate had the votes to confirm Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court, the way that the political left acted really all during the hearings, but especially right after was astonishing. That is what a minority that has been fluffing their feathers like a peacock to appear much larger looks like when their bluff is called. I would advise all Republicans in the future to do what Judge Kavanaugh had to do in those hearing, and that was to get a little mad and nasty, because it is the only language the other side understands, which is why they keep saying that he shouldn’t have done it. “Judicial temperament” my ass, they want a punching bag in Republicans that they can easily beat, which is what they have had all this time.

It allowed them as a minority party to appear to be an equal contender. But God bless Donald J. Trump for calling them out on it and for bringing to politics an honesty that has never been there before. If not for Donald J. Trump leading the charge in support for Brett Kavanaugh, we still wouldn’t have a judge on the Supreme Court. When the political left, or anybody for that matter, tries to convince us that Brett Kavanaugh should have sat there and taken the unsanctioned role that was trying to be placed upon him—that he was a sexual predator—what you are hearing are villains attempting a hostile take over of our country and their screams of anguish once they have failed.

I would point out several revelations that were made over the last month by Democrats, which I have been saying and the evidence is just now catching up—they are losing as a party. They are on the verge of complete collapse. It’s not enough to say that they are morally and financially bankrupt, they are losing their support everywhere. They have no ideas, they have no smart candidates, and they have no appeal. All they have are these protests where they threaten violence if nobody listens to them, or in cornering senators in elevators in an attempt to push them with force into an altered way of thinking. Talk about bullies, the Democrats are everything the proclaim to protect us from. They are the ultimate mob boss that charges you for protection—protection from them. But when people stop fearing them they have no way to understand what to do because everything about them is in their ability to control the message by threatening fear to impose their will, and that just isn’t how our “republic” was designed to function.

Essentially what we are seeing are a bunch of uneducated people in Democrats who think that America is a democracy ruled by majorities of protestors as opposed to the reason of representatives who vote on behalf of their constituents. That’s why they attacked Susan Collins in the hallway and into the elevator, to terrify her by force into voting in ways that her constituents back home would find repulsive. Then when it didn’t work they threw a fit like a bunch of spoiled brat kids. This behavior to Democrats is how policy is made, it is how they think a country should be run, and it has never been exposed in a rawer way than during the Brett Kavanaugh hearings.

I think I said it on a radio show before Donald Trump was elected that the Democratic Party was on their last leg, which sounded outrageous in 2016 as Trump was climbing toward the Republican nomination. But his way of attacking them whenever attacked has worked, and it has led the Republican Party to a place now that it has never been since before Teddy Roosevelt was in office at the turn of the last century. Most Americans are conservative leaning people but they let Democrats protest and insult their way into power, but that power was always on wet paper and could easily be destroyed. But it took a personality like Donald Trump to finally win the White House and show other Republicans how to conduct themselves defensively. Brett Kavanaugh is very much a product of the Trump era, nobody in their right mind would expect him to sit there and take what the Democrats were giving him. If he did take it then he would have sanctioned an evil that the Democrats were trying to place on him, that he was a sexual predator. Yet Democrats have been the party of sexual predators. This same trick they have tried to apply to conservatives, that they are racists, or that they have some relationship to Hitler—when all along it was they who were both. For so many years conservatives have been lulled into believing they should turn the other cheek and that was when Democrats just cut off their heads, metaphorically speaking. And that blood sport has fueled funding and election wins for Democrats because it appeared to be a winning strategy.

But nobody has won like Trump has, with everything they have thrown at him the economy is doing very well, unemployment is at a record low, there is nothing to the multiple investigations into his life that anybody has been able to exploit and even after sticking his name next to Brett Kavanaugh during the worst of the hearings Trump’s approval rating shot up to 51%. In every conceivable way the Democrats and liberalism in general has failed miserably. So yeah, it felt very good to see Brett Kavanaugh confirmed to the Supreme Court. It was one of the most exciting days that I’ve ever watched in politics. It was wildly fulfilling, in similar ways that it felt good to watch Trump win the presidency on that famous night.

But I’d say dear reader that the upcoming election has the potential to feel even better. Imagine the day after the election where Democrats had to look down the long barrel of future history and see that they had no place in it. When it would be obvious to everyone that they didn’t even have a role in American politics because what they stood for were not ideas that are conducive to Americans? Democrats are moving as they have for a long time, toward socialism and outright Chinese communism. That was their plan from the beginning and what they wanted in America, even up until yesterday before the vote of Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court was a 1949 revolution like what happened in China. Only to have that they would have to shame Republicans into the corners of their offices hiding from the world as they were called all types of nasty names such as “Nazis” or “sexual predators” and that white males were supposed to shut up and get out-of-the-way of women who were going to take over all politics and businesses because someone looked at their boobies.

As conservatives we were supposed to accept this bizarre reality and sanction their power grab through guilt that was not our own. Yet we held together and Brett Kavanaugh was confirmed to the Supreme Court anyway, just as Trump has held strong and continued to get wins for America that would not be possible by any other kind of president. Yes, this is what it looks like to be winning. But it’s not over yet, Republicans must vote on election day and show up in force to speak their mind. It’s about time that Democrats realize that they can’t scream and shame their way into power. They have to win elections the right way, and that is what is getting ready to really hit them in the face. But it’s up to us to make that happen and to have the resolve to put the dagger through their hearts. It’s time.

Rich Hoffman

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Jeff Bezos and His $15 An Hour Minimum Wage at Amazon: American workers have Donald J. Trump to thank and nobody else

Before anybody takes credit for Jeff Bezos of Amazon starting the initiative to pay all his employees a minimum of $15 per hour, we have to get a few things straight. It must be remembered that all this time, through all the Obama years, and the Bush years Jeff Bezos as the new richest man in the world thought he had the economy figured out. Nobody in their right mind—except for maybe me—thought that the American economy would ever see more than 4% GDP growth again. Those same people never thought unemployment would dip down to 3% in America either—because the manufacturing jobs had left the continent forever. That meant that if you had a job in the United States, that you should feel lucky that your employer paid you whatever they could. Bezos the big liberal thought he could use that situation to his advantage and hold his wages down to build his company into one of the most successful in the entire world—which he did. But like a typical Scooby Doo villain from that classic Hanna Barbera cartoon, Bezos found himself thwarted by the election of Donald Trump. Trump from the perspective of liberals who wanted to hold down the American economy and push business overseas to impoverished regions, like China and Africa, was going to make America great again, and that meant the economy was coming back and that jobs were going to bloom like flowers on a spring in the Midwest, and that places like Amazon were suddenly going to have to fight to keep their workforces intact if they wanted to maintain their global market dominance as a retail supplier.

Bernie Sanders and his Seattle socialists may want to credit themselves for putting pressure on Amazon to change their ways and move their minimum wage to the $15 an hour that has been demanded by those left leaning radicals. Tucker Carlson from Fox News has done much the same ironically, but it wasn’t any of those groups that pushed Bezos into the abyss, it was market competition. It’s what Donald Trump had been saying all through the campaign of 2016 when he said he wanted to be the greatest jobs president in the history of the world, this is what he meant. By lowering the unemployment rate it forces competition between companies for the best workers, and Amazon looked at how things were shaping up and he didn’t want to put his company at risk with high turnover from a strong American market, so he had to compromise. That is why he decided to make the move he did. It was because of President Trump. The number of $15 an hour is simply to try to appease the socialists who have been screaming for that wage level for a long time. Bezos probably figures that it will give him a competitive advantage over other employers for a while to set such a high minimum wage.

But don’t think for a second that Bezos had been rooting for Donald Trump to be successful, in fact the Amazon leader has been doing everything he could to destroy the Trump presidency before something like this very strong economy became a fact. Like many big corporations who long ago accepted the Bush-era New World Order where the United Nations would take over the management of human affairs, they put their bets in that corner and all their company assets then here comes Donald Trump talking about undoing it all. So of course, they got caught flat-footed after his election, and of course they wanted to defend themselves. But then again, they never should have bet against America in the first place. They had not just bet a few horses on the great race of politics, but they had bet the whole family farm and now they have to find a way to survive as Trump’s economy is poised to be the worlds most powerful for the foreseeable future.

I keep hearing about how patient the Chinese are and how superior they are to American strategies. Well, if they are so good, why do they have to steal all our intellectual material to attempt to compete? The truth is that the Chinese are not so great, they are a communist country filled with people who have individually been crushed. They are a society that has lost their individual imaginations and surrendered them to a collective consciousness. That makes them great workers, but not so great in the realm of thinking. So as a country they can only thrive if the rest of the world is artificially held down, as they had been during the last three American presidents, until Trump put a stop to the practice. Now that the big tech companies like Apple have to deal with jobs coming back to America—which was not on any consultant’s list of objectives in the near future, the strategy of everything has to change and workers can thank Donald J. Trump for that, and the people who have supported him. I can say that I knew all along what would happen if an American president had created an “America First” policy. But nobody was listening, so I put my support early on behind Donald Trump for this very reason, that by strengthening the economy all other troubles would suddenly be manageable around the world.

When a big, giant company like Amazon has to make concessions to keep their employees, especially when Bezos fought so hard to eliminate that competition by backing policies that would help destroy the American economy for a more global view, you can then know that America as a superpower has a new day to enjoy. But this time there aren’t any other superpowers to compete with because virtually every other country in the world has invested into this global scheme which suddenly has no value. It is a fascinating problem to observe. But nobody deserves credit for what Bezos has done but Donald Trump. Trump has won and fulfilled his promises and the average American worker is seeing the direct benefits, not just from the tax cuts, but in wage growth.

When people say that the tax cuts were for the rich, this is how they were wrong. Tax cuts for corporations and the upper crust wealthy has kept them in America. By staying in America, they now have to compete with all other industries for the same jobs. That means the average worker can demand more income as a result, it’s the basic law of supply and demand. Business owners were able to absorb those additional costs because of the tax cuts. Do you see now the magic dear reader? It’s basic economics 101—the kind of stuff you get in the first week of your first year of college economics. Yet nobody was following the rules but the billionaire from Queens, New York. He knew the obvious and was bold enough to stick to the formula and now the benefits are there for everyone to enjoy, except for the richest man in the world, Jeff Bezos. In the end if you can’t beat them, you join them, and that is how Trump is uniting the world—by being the best and forcing even the most reluctant to join him at the party. And the people who benefit most is the American worker.

I don’t like Jeff Bezos in a political way.  But I do love him as a visionary.  Welcome to the Trump Club, Jeff!

Rich Hoffman

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